Test

Testing.

More soon.

Wednesday 20th April

Dutch Eredivise Yankee –
Twente to win to nil
Ajax to win to nil
Utrecht to win both teams score
Zwolle and over 2.5 goals to win
2 winners stakes roughly returned 9/1
3 winners approximately 25/1
4 winners 77/1

Six team accumulator –
Liverpool or draw
Juventus
Roma
Utrecht
Ajax
Real Madrid
Pays 6.34/1

Treble –
Liverpool win
Roma win
Juventus to win to nil
Pays 4.71/1

Treble –
Chievo win
Genoa win or draw
BTTS Genk v Brugge
Pays 4.56/1

Double
Palermo v Atalanta under 2.5 goals
BTTS Man Utd v Palace
Pays 2.8/1

Singles –
Juventus to win 1-0 @ 5/1
Palermo v Atalanta 0-0 @ 17/2

Nights banker – hopefully can cover some of these.
Zwolle to win @ Evens

NFL update from Probst

Courtesy of @LeonProbst007

Will have stats updated at some point – struggling to find a spare ten minutes at present.

So week two is in the books… what have we learnt so far…

The main one is I’m still shockingly lame at any fantasy football game connected to NFL this now includes eliminator challenge and pig skin pick em…After 2 games I am sitting with 2 defeats in fantasy football and have not managed to pick a winner in eliminator challenge…ah well at least I’m used to this position it’s becoming an annual thing. ..right onto the less important stuff..

1.. Steelers attack is of the scale…We knew they would be good but after 2 rounds and with the destruction of the 49ers last week is there any stopping them and with bell back from suspension this week you would imagine they will only get better..and in Antonio Brown they have one unbelievable freak of a player.

2.. Jets d is legit…They had the potential to do great things and after a good 1st week they were all over Luck and the colts in week 2 causing turnovers and fumbles galore

3..Julio Jones..The Falcons have in this guy an absolute beast…If the Falcons can get some run game going this season it will open the field even more for Jones and in him and Antonio Brown mentioned above I think it will be a toe to toe slug between the 2 for wide receiver of the season both can go for most yards and touchdowns by a WR in a single season in my opinion if they stay healthy..

4.. Colts and Luck… have they got big problems or is it just getting rid of some rustiness…having acquired Johnson and Gore in the off season to go with Ty Hilton and Luck at QB everyone assumed they would just out gun all in there way with points galore..well we’re still waiting and they need to sort it out quickly as a loss to the Titans this week and they are in big trouble

5… Eagles RBs and Eagles in general…having splashed out serious dollar and a plethora of RBs there were over a dozen quarterbacks who rushed for more yards last week than the eagles RBs combined extremely worrying for eagles fans…

6…injuries injuries injuries… after 2 rounds of games I can’t remember there being so many injuries Cowboys seem to be in the main suffering the most with one of the best QB, WR pairing in the league out for a fair while in Dez Bryant and Tony Romo

7… ‘All Day’ after a not so great week 1 game ring rust imo Adrian Peterson was back week 2 and back to near his best just lacking a touchdown to round of his game..think he will just get better week after week and I still think he will end up as no1 RB this year

Betting front…

After a dismal showing in week 1 with the blog bets I did decide on a tasty acca while sat there waiting for games to start which worked out extremely well (attached file)

NFL Bets from Probst

These are @leonprobst007 selections for this week …

NFL Week 1 Picks and Bets – 6.00 Games

Going to be quick fire here. Hopefully!!!

Carolina Panthers (0-0) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0)

The Panthers to me look a team on the way down and have serious problems at WR with Benjamin out injured. Now the Jags are no world beaters but I do expect continued improvement from them under Gus Bradley. I think this has the recipe for a low scoring affair but I do think at home the Jags show up. So am taking them to win excluding the spread – also feel there are a few other areas worth betting on. Greg Olsen will be the focal point of the Panthers passing game attack while Allen Robinson is a stud and I’d expect him to perform as Blake Bortles number one guy. TD wise Mike Tolbert has been playing as a WR a fair bit in pre-season and does carry in the red-zone from time to time. He got consecutive goal line carries against the Dolphins in pre-season.

• Jacksonville Jaguars 1pt win @ 6/4 Bet Victor
• Greg Olsen over 70.5 yards 1pt win @ 10/11 Ladbrokes
• Allen Robinson over 67.5 yards 1pt win @ 5/6 Paddy Power
• Mike Tolbert Anytime TD scorer 0.5pt win @ 7/2 Ladbrokes

Projected Score

Jaguars 21 – Panthers 17

Pigskin Pickem – Jacksonville Jaguars

Cleveland Browns (0-0) @ New York Jets (0-0)

This game has the lowest points spread of the week at 39.5 and I don’t think it’s one I’d be too keen to oppose with two pretty average sides. The Jets I do expect to be better this year and they have some quality pieces on both sides of the ball (Revis, Wilkerson, Harrison, Marshall, Decker). The Browns have very little bar the offensive line. I expect New York to win this game and I also expect them to beat the spread. A game based around Chris Ivory and the defense should be enough and I do expect Ivory to have a big game. As an aside the Browns passing game defense is pretty solid and I don’t expect the ball to be in Fitzpatrick’s hands much – shouldn’t need to be so would recommend the unders on his passing yards. TD wise at a price Duke Johnson is worth a sniff as he could play plenty if fully healthy – Crowell is not a back I trust. His fitness is a concern though so I would temper expectations.

• New York Jets 1pt win -3.5 @ Evens Skybet
• Ryan Fitzpatrick under 230.5 yards 1pt win @ 10/11 Ladbrokes
• Chris Ivory over 68.5 rushing yards 1pt win @ 10/11 Ladbrokes
• Duke Johnson Anytime TD scorer 0.5pt win @ 15/4 Bet 365

Projected Score

Jets 24 – Browns 14

Pigskin Pickem – New York Jets

Chicago Bears (0-0) @ Green Bay Packers (0-0)

Jay Cutler has a 1-11 record against the Packers and as you can guess I don’t expect that to change today. Green Bay are my lock of the week and even though they have lost Jordy Nelson they have plenty of firepower on offense behind Rodgers and Lacy. Defensively the Bears look terrible and expect big games from Adams and the aforementioned Lacy who I expect to run riot in both the running and receiving game. For Chicago Alshon Jeffrey is somewhat banged up so I think they will lean on Martellus Bennett. He is really their only fit receiver and could catch near ten balls. Worth noting 56.3% of his TDs come in September. Garbage time also counts! To sum up here am taking the Packers to beat the spread in what will be a blowout of sorts – but do think Bennett has a big game.

• Green Bay Packers 1pt win -7 @ Evens Ladbrokes
• Martellus Bennett 1pt win over 60.5 yards @ 10/11 Ladbrokes
• Martellus Bennett Anytime TD scorer 1pt win @ 7/4 Skybet

Projected Score

Green Bay 34 – Bears 17

Pigskin Pickem – Green Bay Packers

Indianapolis Colts (0-0) @ Buffalo Bills (0-0)

I’ve had a pretty hard time reading this game as in Buffalo think the Colts could well lose despite all their new offensive talent. I tend to think the front seven of the Bills will be as mean as it was last year and a lot will depend on how the Colts OL performs. Hilton is the main danger though his record in games outdoors (not in a dome) is far worse than indoors. Would not expect him to go nuts especially if the Bills number one corner Gilmore follows him about. For clarity indoors Hilton averages 82.3 yards; outdoors it drops to 53 yards. The Bills are likely to lean on McCoy and perhaps use a blueprint from the Patriots last year of gashing the Colts through the running game. His fitness is a concern but letting go of Fred Jackson suggests to me they think he will be 95% healthy – I also expect some designed runs for Tyrod Taylor he could easily sneak a rushing TD. His rushing should also help McCoy.

• TY Hilton 1pt win under 84.5 receiving yards @ 10/11 Ladbrokes
• LeSean McCoy 1pt win over 74.5 rushing yards @ 5/6 Paddy Power
• Tyrod Taylor Anytime TD scorer 1pt win @ 3/1 Skybet

Projected Score

Colts 24 – Bills 21

Pigskin Pickem – Indianapolis Colts

Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) @ Houston Texans (0-0)

Really going to have speed things up … Not really a game I have much of an opinion on in truth. Las Vegas expects a really close game and I tend to agree – at home I’d probably side with the Texans but I don’t expect many points. Alex Smith is pretty conservative and I think the Chiefs will try to ride Charles here which won’t be easy against Houston’s defensive talent. Houston will really miss Foster but they are set up to run the ball so Blue should be able to get close to his spread through sheer volume if nothing else. If I was betting on anything else would take the under on 40 points.

• Alfred Blue 1pt win over 61.5 rushing yards @ 5/6 Paddy Power

Projected Score

Texans 18 – Chiefs 17

Pigskin Pickem – Houston Texans

Miami Dolphins (0-0) @ Washington Redskins (0-0)

Miami head into Washington as a 3.5 point favourite and with Suh added to an already fearsome looking pass rush I’d expect poor Kirk Cousins to have a tough afternoon. In the pre-season Griffin was blown up several times – now some of that was his fault but it also suggests the Washington OL is a mess. Their defense is also a mess and I’d expect both Miller and Landry to feast. For the Skins they will likely have to air it out – Miami are definitely weaker in the secondary so that could work in the favour of Jackson and Garcon. The former only needs one big play to break his spread. I expect Alfred Morris to have a really tough afternoon – for a number of reasons: Bad OL line, doesn’t play third downs; expect Redskins to be behind.

• Miami Dolphins 1pt win -3.5 @ Evens Paddy Power
• Alfred Morris 1pt under 70.5 rushing yards @ 10/11 Ladbrokes
• DeSean Jackson 1pt win over 62.5 receiving yards @ 5/6 Paddy Power

Projected Score

Dolphins 27 – Redskins 16

Pigskin Pickem – Miami Dolphins

Seattle Seahawks (0-0) @ St Louis Rams (0-0)

This game screams out as a low-scoring slugfest and I expect the Rams to keep it close but ultimately not have anywhere near enough to score points against the Hawks. Without Gurley and probably Mason they will have to lean on Foles which is not ideal when he has such a poor supporting cast. On the other side of the ball the Rams play great defense so the Hawks will probably also struggle to move the ball and will lean on Lynch and Jackson for me. The Rams defend TEs as one of the best in the league so will definitely take the unders on Jimmy Graham’s yardage and while I expect the Hawks to win I do think it will be low scoring.

• Under 40.5 points 1pt win @ 20/21 Paddy Power
• Jimmy Graham under 67.5 yards @ 10/11 Ladbrokes

Projected Score

Seahawks 21 – Rams 9

Pigskin Pickem – Seattle Seahawks

Later games in a later post – need a break!